As the AI ​​gap widens, Siri delays and tariffs reshape the supply chain, Apple is betting on Ternus for Jobs-era resolve.



Summary: Bloomberg calls Apple’s CEO transition a “bet.Work cycle determination,” with John Ternus expected to centralize decision-making and move faster on AI, where Apple models are outpacing older rivals and an overhaul of Siri has been delayed three times since 2024. He inherits a product roadmap that includes the foldable iPhone, smart glasses and HomePad, plus a supply chain, €5 million tariff changes in India. Sales down 95% Vision Pro, no major analyst shares down and the closest historical parallel is Nadella’s transformation into Microsoft.

Bloomberg’s framing of Apple’s CEO transition, released the morning after the announcement, was noted: the company is betting that John Ternus will bring back “Work cycle determination.” The bottom line is that Tim Cook’s consensus-based leadership style, which has delivered $416 billion in annual revenue and a $4 trillion market capitalization, was too slow for a moment and requires faster, harder choices about artificial intelligence, product strategy, and supply chain under looming geopolitical pressure. Bloomberg reports it had already overhauled its hardware engineering organization in early April around a new AI platform designed to speed up product development.

Reconstruction is already in sight. Now chief hardware officer Joni Sroughy has divided the combined hardware group into five divisions: hardware engineering under Tom Marieb, silicon under Sri Santhanam, advanced technologies under Zongjian Chen, platform architecture under Tim Millet and project management under Donny Nordhues. The structure concentrates technical leadership while also giving Ternus a flatter reporting chain than Cook maintains. Bloomberg also notes that Ternus “opposed“both the Vision Pro headset and the canceled autonomous car project”to varying degrees,” a detail that suggests sharper product instincts about what not to ship.

Lack of AI

The most pressing problem that Ternus inherited is a noticeably lagging AI strategy. Apple’s server-based model is rated behind OpenAI’s one-year GPT-4o. Human evaluators favored Meta’s Llama 4 Scout over Apple’s cloud model in image analysis tests. The company’s on-device models work with about 150 billion parameters. Apple’s proprietary Gemini model, licensed from Google under a deal announced in January and valued at about $1 billion a year, is an expert blend architecture with 1.2 trillion parameters, which is eight times larger than what Apple builds in-house.

The overhaul of Siri, which was supposed to showcase Apple’s artificial intelligence capabilities, has been repeatedly delayed. Originally slated for iOS 18 in 2024, it was pushed back to spring 2025, then spring 2026, and then partially to iOS 27 in September 2026. After discovering that the original version failed to meet the required level of quality, Apple moved from the first-generation architecture to a deeper end-to-end rebuild, effectively forcing engineers to start over. The Gemini-powered version is expected to reach Siri’s 1.5 billion daily users via iOS 26.4, but delays have pushed the HomePad smart home hub, which already depends on the improved assistant, from spring to fall.

Ternus’ own framework for the AI ​​problem is patient. “I think Apple Intelligence will continue to evolve and make the things you do better and easier,He told Tom’s Guide this month.If we do it right, people won’t really feel or think about it.” The philosophy is consistent, however consumers are not convinced artificial intelligence features justify new hardware purchases, and the gap between Apple’s capabilities and those of its competitors is widening. Gene Munster, a longtime Apple analyst at Deepwater Asset Management, said Ternus’ “opportunity to increase AAPL’s multiple by changing the narrative of the greatest opportunity in big tech.” He’s waiting”There is big hiring under Ternus from AI-focused firms like Anthropic and OpenAI.

Product roadmap

The hardware pipeline for 2026 and 2027 is the most ambitious program Apple has attempted in years, and it’s squarely in Ternus’s realm of expertise. Along with the iPhone 18 Pro, a foldable iPhone with a book-style design and an internal display roughly the size of the iPad mini is expected in September, priced higher than existing models. Apple is at least trying Four frame designs for AI smart glasses It is aiming for mass production in late 2026 or early 2027, with three to five million units delivered in the year of release. The glasses won’t be standalone devices: they rely on a connected iPhone for processing, meaning their success depends on Siri’s three-delayed overhaul.

The M5 generation Apple Silicon Spread to the Mac lineup. The Vision Pro, which delivered around 390,000 units in the year of its launch, before falling by 95% to around 80,000-90,000 units in 2025, is being deprioritised. Apple has cut marketing costs for the headset by up to 95% and is focusing engineering resources on smart glasses projects. 2 billion dollars Acquisition of Q.aiAn Israeli silent speech AI startup shows the kind of sensor-driven, ambient AI that lightweight wearables could eventually enable.

Supply chain under pressure

The tariff environment has improved but remains volatile. The Supreme Court ruled in February that Trump’s reciprocating tariffs based on the IEEPA were unconstitutional, potentially leading to more than $175 billion in refunds to importers. Trump immediately imposed a 10% tariff under Article 122 with no product exemptions. Apple imports more than $100 billion in goods from China annually and is accelerating plans to move all US-bound iPhone production to India by the end of this year, which would require doubling India’s current production capacity.

The Regulatory burden in the EU continues to expand. In April 2025, the European Commission fined Apple €500 million for DMA violations and gave the company 60 days to comply. The Coalition for App Fairness calls Apple “persistent inconsistency” six months later. Interoperability requirements force Apple to open APIs for NFC, default browser and app settings, and messaging, while Apple Intelligence itself remains unavailable in the EU due to the same DMA restrictions that make it difficult to broadcast in China. Repeat violations result in fines of up to 10% of global revenue.

In China, Apple has an 18.9% market share, behind Huawei’s 20%, but it grew faster than any rival in the first quarter, with a 33% year-over-year gain thanks to iPhone 17 pricing and government subsidies. The structural problem is that Huawei’s local supply chain insulates it from global DRAM shortages that limit Apple’s production, while Chinese rivals integrate local AI capabilities that Apple cannot match in the market due to regulatory restrictions on Apple Intelligence.

What is Wall Street waiting for?

No major company downgraded Apple or cut its price target following the announcement. Wedbush, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Melius and Evercore reiterated their ratings, with targets ranging from $325 to $350. BofA said:the timing of the leadership transition suggests that near-term outcomes are extremely durable.“Evercore destination said”It makes sense given Apple’s history of leadership based on its core hardware business. Morgan Stanley said any AI strategy has changed under Ternuslikely to be long-term,” suggesting that Apple will avoid the aggressive AI spending seen in its competitors.

Shares fell a little more than 1% in the first day of trading, a reaction analysts attributed to timing surprise rather than underlying concern. Raymond James offered the most measured assessment: the passage “iis incrementally positive for product innovation,” but “presents high execution risk at a critical juncture.

The closest historical parallel is Satya Nadella’s appointment to Microsoft in 2014. Nadella inherited a failing but strategically stagnant company and led the platform’s transition to the cloud, which tripled its market capitalization in five years. Ternus inherits a company at or near peak financial performance, but faces an equally fundamental question about its position in AI. The difference is that Nadella was the cloud and services leader who brought Microsoft into cloud and services. Ternus is an on-demand hardware leader in solving the software and AI challenge. Whether this inconsistency is a vulnerability or an asset, and whether the person who builds the devices is in the best position to determine what intelligence is running on them, is a bet on Apple’s board. The next 12 months, starting with WWDC on June 8, will reveal whether this is true.



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